A pivotal swing game
Game 5 of the 2025 NBA Finals arrives with the series knotted at 2–2, and the winner will grab a commanding 3–2 lead heading into Tuesday’s Game 6 in Indianapolis. Historically, the trend is clear—23 of the 31 previous 2–2 swing games have gone on to win the title. Oklahoma City boasts a 44–8 home record this postseason and will lean heavily on the crowd’s energy.
OKC’s defensive grit
The Thunder defense delivered a statement in Game 4, using relentless perimeter pressure—led by Luguentz Dort—to freeze Tyrese Haliburton and pull away late. In crunch time, OKC held Indiana to a lone free throw in the final 3:20 of the fourth, suffocating their flow. Expect more of that physical, half‑court intensity under coach Mark Daigneault.
SGA’s MVP-caliber surge
Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander, the reigning league MVP, has been spectacular. He unleashed a 38‑ and 34‑point barrage in Games 1 and 2, respectively, then erupted for 15 points in the final five minutes of Game 4 to spark a comeback. Averaging 32.7 points, 6.4 assists, and 5 rebounds for the series, SGA is performing like a true Finals superstar.
Indiana’s offensive vision and heart
The Pacers aren’t just cannon fodder—they lead the playoffs in offensive rating, field goal percentage, and three-point efficiency. Haliburton has become a Finals antagonist, flipping from quiet facilitator to clutch spark. But against OKC’s stifling defense, his aggression must ramp up further to tilt the balance.
Coach Rick Carlisle deserves credit for transforming Indiana into a well-oiled, young contender by empowering Haliburton’s creativity and acquiring Pascal Siakam. With limited bench depth but undeniable chemistry, the Pacers aim to shock once again.
Architect’s vision: Presti’s rebuild paying dividends
Oklahoma City’s success reflects Sam Presti’s long-term strategy—drafting Kevin Durant, pivoting to Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander, and assembling a close-knit core around Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams. The Thunder now stand two wins from their first-ever title in this market—and Presti’s blueprint appears vindicated.
What’s at stake—Game 5 breakdown
Factor OKC Thunder Indiana Pacers
Home court Dominant (44–8) Eyeing rare road win No. 8
Defense Perimeter pressure, physicality Vulnerable to physical half-court checks
Offense SGA led — explosive scoring surge Collaborative; need Haliburton resurgence
Coaching Daigneault stays disciplined and compact Carlisle adaptive, modernized scheme.
If the Thunder replicate their defensive approach and SGA delivers another late-game barrage, they’re poised to retake control of the series. Meanwhile, the underdog Pacers must tighten up and harness Haliburton’s playmaking gear to steal the night.
Final take
Game 5 isn’t just another contest—it’s a potential season-changer. A Thunder victory chips at Indiana’s confidence heading into Game 6 at home. But a Pacers upset would completely flip the narrative, setting up a high-stakes road finale.