The New York Yankees head to Cincinnati tonight, aiming to snap their four-game road slide in this pivotal three-game series at Great American Ball Park. Scheduled for a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch, the game pits newcomer Allan Winans against Reds’ left-hander Nick Lodolo.
Odds & Game Lines
Moneyline: Yankees are slight favorites at –124; Reds sit at +104
Run Line: Yankees –1.5
Total: Set at 10.0 runs
Pitching Matchup
Yankees – Allan Winans: Called up to replace injured Ryan Yarbrough, Winans starts his Yankees tenure tonight. Despite NFL struggles (1 win over 8 starts across 2023–24), he dominated Triple-A this season with a 0.90 ERA in 50 innings and 59 strikeouts
Reds – Nick Lodolo: He’s been consistent, posting a 3.71 ERA in 15 starts and demonstrating strong command (career-low walk rate). Lodolo uses a balanced four-pitch mix and effectively adjusts based on batter handedness.
Recent Team Form
The Yankees closed a six-game losing stretch and now carry a 10–10 June record into this series, earning a well-timed rest after a brutal 16-day stretch.
Cincinnati holds a competitive 40–38 mark, sitting just three games behind a Wild Card spot, riding solid pitching performances.
Key Trends & Factors
Yankees have won their last three series in Cincinnati. Their recent games have also leaned lower-scoring (“Under”).
Reds have covered the spread in each of their last three matchups against the Yankees.
Reds star Elly De La Cruz remains a dynamic force, batting .308 with multiple extra-base hits in recent series.
Yankees’ lineup boosts include returnees Paul Goldschmidt and Anthony Volpe, while the Reds counter with lead-off hitter TJ Friedl and a hot De La Cruz.
Expert Picks & Betting Angles
The NBC Sports Bet model favors the Yankees on the moneyline, while giving the Reds a strong case to cover the +1.5 spread.
Over at the New York Post, “Stitches” recommends a $50 bet on the Yankees at –125 via BetMGM.
Expect a tight, strategic pitching duel tonight. Winans brings fresh Minor League success but limited MLB innings. Lodolo offers a safe, adaptable option for Cincinnati. Offensively, the Yankees are hopefully balanced with Goldschmidt and Volpe back in the fold, while the Reds lean on hot bats like De La Cruz and Friedl.
If you value odds and consistency, the moneyline leans Yankees. But Reds at +1.5 offers solid value. A low-scoring outcome (“Under 10 runs”) also looks appealing given the pitching matchup.